Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.179140 0.213056 0.251129 0.296964 0.350570 0.411205 0.484914
2025-05-11 0.126671 0.169296 0.222476 0.293393 0.385147 0.499481 0.652349
2025-05-18 0.094871 0.138556 0.197578 0.282531 0.400947 0.559301 0.786091
2025-05-25 0.073050 0.115003 0.175615 0.268596 0.406430 0.601729 0.897510
2025-06-01 0.061847 0.103872 0.168180 0.272327 0.434954 0.676834 1.060629
2025-06-08 0.050480 0.090076 0.153997 0.262851 0.441152 0.718360 1.177234
2025-06-15 0.044517 0.083845 0.150424 0.268941 0.471387 0.798540 1.360362
2025-06-22 0.038883 0.077092 0.144751 0.270323 0.493411 0.867138 1.531191
2025-06-29 0.033466 0.069727 0.136779 0.266301 0.505182 0.919265 1.679097
2025-07-06 0.029013 0.063390 0.129637 0.262551 0.516503 0.971064 1.830693
2025-07-13 0.026906 0.061350 0.130228 0.273174 0.554998 1.073962 2.081794
2025-07-20 0.026047 0.061751 0.135588 0.293590 0.614034 1.219339 2.423132
2025-07-27 0.024033 0.059522 0.135729 0.304465 0.657593 1.343703 2.744442
2025-08-03 0.021041 0.054588 0.129547 0.301591 0.673684 1.418221 2.980269
2025-08-10 0.017887 0.048648 0.120206 0.290508 0.671202 1.455681 3.146883
2025-08-17 0.015015 0.042814 0.110131 0.276208 0.659775 1.473384 3.274781
2025-08-24 0.013650 0.040573 0.108108 0.280039 0.688557 1.577091 3.590204
2025-08-31 0.011730 0.036452 0.100839 0.270310 0.685249 1.611897 3.762758
2025-09-07 0.010847 0.035044 0.100155 0.276563 0.719822 1.732480 4.132296
2025-09-14 0.009841 0.033077 0.097703 0.277981 0.742927 1.829608 4.458863
2025-09-21 0.008730 0.030559 0.093363 0.273852 0.751836 1.895081 4.719835
2025-09-28 0.007767 0.028294 0.089351 0.270002 0.760920 1.961723 4.989603
2025-10-05 0.007401 0.027902 0.090637 0.280908 0.809419 2.126936 5.506614